India Jeera To Regain On Short Covering : 04-11-11

Jeera recovered moderately from the lower levels on short covering amidst expectations of exports rising at these lower levels. Overall trading activities remained low with low arrivals too reported.

Reports on the sowing progress in Gujarat and Rajasthan would be important for the short term market sentiments. Good rains early this year could have a positive impact on the sowing activities as per traders.

Medium term trend looks firm from expected rise in export demand but short term trend is expected to remain volatile. A firmness in Dollar vs Re too could support the export factor.

Lower production in Turkey and Syria could impart firmness to Indian rates.

Indian production expected at 28-30 lakh bags translating to more than 1.5 lakh tonnes.

Export demand from US and EU could also rise at these lower levels in com-ing weeks and that could have a moderate bullish impact on the prices.

Latest reports from Spice Board of India indicates the estimated exports of Spices for the period April-August 2011 have fallen by 23% from 255,100 MT in 2010 to 195,500 MT in 2011. Jeera exports fell by 39% from 15,700 MT to 9,500 MT during the same period.